Not a bad week. I owe a thanks to Alex for helping me get my stats up for you all to see. Obviously I ran insanely well and my aces are 100% this month. I do take some of the credit though as I feel my game is evolving. The crew has been huge for me. Thanks for the sweats and feedback. I hope I too can be impactful on your game. I still failed to reach my goal for hours those week and am disappointed in that. I know that even though this week was great I made several mistakes and missed value in certain spots and I look to improve and build upon what I have. I dont want the word to get out but I seriously think Absolute is swimming with fish lately and they have 200BB. If you join the darkside please dont forget me for rake back. If interested let me know.
Hand 1: http://www.pokerhand.org/?1285068 Villian is 55/5/.2 over 60 hands. I felt he wasnt on a better hand then 88 preflop and had him on AK or AQ. My question is why didnt I 4bet? Yes I got it all in best and the river sucked but should I have maybe gotten it in preflop or possibly forced villian off AK? What is your line preflop?
Hand 2: http://www.pokerhand.org/?1285074 Villian snap called on flop and I figured him for a flush draw. He checks the river and I am semi perplexed and almost check. Was a value bet right? I felt he may have PP or a Q.
5 comments:
1: He has half a stack, right? So the argument for not shoving preflop if you think you're ahead is that you get a chance to see the flop and see if any "danger" cards hit (A, K, Q, basically). Since they don't, you get it in. I think you played it okay, but I think you could have shoved preflop too if you want to go with your read. Either way seems okay to me. Anyone else?
2: Where I'm at right now I definitely check the river. But I play scared as you mentioned. :) However I'd never put him on what he had here. Well played by him. You put him on the flush draw and you were right, he just made a good river play I think. I don't think this is horrendous, especially since you're going to be betting the river with so many hands you really should with this hand here just so that it's harder to merge your range.
Hand 1: I play this exactly that way. I'm not 4 betting with less than TT or AK here.
Hand 2: Huh? On the river, I see his most likely holding a JT that was scared of the flush on the turn and now worried about the board pairing....and I don't see him folding to a value bet with that hand, so I check. I guess the big question here is, what hands does he call a value bet with that you beat? I guess a Q, but that's about it.
Noel-
On Disconnected's blog you were talking about how super tight you are in the first two positions. Can you give a general idea of what your range is?
Pete
Hand 1: I think that I shove or fold preflop, and I would actually lean towards a fold, but based on the way villain played the hand, I may be operating with the wrong assumptions. I figured that at best you were a coinflip with the original guy who pushed, and after the second guy just called the first guy's shove, I didn't think -- other than hitting a set -- you'd be able to extract money in the side pot when ahead. Shoving does put pressure on the second guy to get out and allow you to be HU with the first guy, and I think that's what you want with 88. But if people are willing to get it in with overcards like the main villain did, then I could definitely see just overcalling preflop. Standard villain play?
Hand 2: So many draws got there on the turn that I would check the river. Even a queen might be scared to pay off on the river. If you were OOP, I suppose I could see making a small value/blocking bet, but even then it would be questionable.
Hand 1: I'm really a fan of the 88 hand, but it's hard to estimate the EV of your options. Guy calls a raise and a 3b all in, I don't think I like my 88 that much. In majority of the cases you'll have at least one overcard to your pair on the flop and then your hand has reverse implied odds if you keep playing.
Hand 2: I don't think the VB is that bad, he could definitely pay off with worse hands. I guess he was trying for a c/r, then got scared with the board pairing. Not sure if he was inducing a bluff/value bet, that seems a bit too high level for an insta-caller on the flop.
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